Unexpected events are difficult to see, even after the event. Several years after the fall of the Berlin Wall, I was reading Professor Pundit and thought, “Wait a minute, though he’s one of the foremost experts on Eastern Europe, the event caught him totally by surprise. So, why should I listen to him now?”
Recently I’ve observed this more closely with regard to Trump’s campaign and election. I was pleased with President Trump’s election, and with being able to sell my Predictit shares on the election and purchase a purebred standard poodle. Whether a pundit was for or against Trump, if they didn’t see his election coming, why pay attention to them now?
Of course, the massive elephant in the room with regard to unexpected events is the resurrection of Jesus, foreseen only in the Hebrew scriptures. That changes everything.